By M D Nalapat
A consensus needs to get built that the five member-states of BRICS will renounce the use of force against each other.
Just as millions voted for Rajiv Gandhi
in 1984 on the promise of change, voters in 2014 chose the BJP led by
Narendra Modi in the belief that he would ensure the substantive and
systemic changes in governance and policy that had been elusive for too
long. Confidence in Modi is still high, visible in the belief that he
will soon begin to accelerate the process of change, now that he has
settled in and mastered the processes of governance at the Central
level. The expectation is that needed reforms, such as horizontal entry
into the Central and state services at all levels from outside the
government, will come about. That Modi is a visionary has been proved by
the 8 November 2016 demonetisation of 86% of the country’s paper
currency, in order inter alia to force through a shift to digital modes
of payment, such as what has taken place in China during the period
since Xi Jinping was put in charge five years ago. That shift in
behaviour came about as a result of expansion of indigenous digital
platforms and improvement in bandwidth, not by rendering worthless
China’s paper currency. The Reserve Bank of India and NITI Aayog were
wrong in assuming that a sharp fall in liquidity would change habits
without seriously impacting employment and output, especially in the
so-called “unorganised” sector. There is nothing unorganised about this
sector. It even pays “taxes”, in the form of bribes to officials and
politicians, and much of it would be rendered uneconomic were regular
taxes to be imposed over and above such “unofficial” imposts. Hence the
importance of Prime Minister Modi’s strenuous efforts at ensuring
corruption-free procedures. Now, after so much has happened to the
economy as a consequence of the DeMon measure the institution
championed, the RBI seems to have accepted the need for liquidity and is
no longer starving the economy of currency. A changeover to digital
systems in place of cash needs a tax structure that has much lower rates
than at present, as well as ways of ensuring compliance that are not
reliant on regulations that empower (and subsequently enrich) officials
beyond the limits that are normal in democracies. Overall, Modi can be
expected to ensure by 2019 that present GST rates fall and compliance be
made easier, given his genius for practicality.
In days, Prime Minister Modi is expected
to head for Xiamen, for the 9th BRICS Summit. There, a consensus needs
to get built that the five member-states will (a) renounce the use of
force against each other; (b) abstain from any action that threatens the
security of any other; (c) ensure visa-free entry within the BRICS
bloc; (d) have Russia and China take up the case of India, Brazil and
South Africa as Permanent Members of the UN Security Council; and (e)
set up a BRICS headquarters that would serve as the coordinating agency
for cooperation between the five, perhaps in Durban, South Africa. The
time for a 21st century Panchsheel among the BRICS Five has arrived, and
hopefully this will become a reality at Xiamen. The five leaders need
to aim at the stars during the 3-5 September meeting and not again keep
their sights low.
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